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United States Government Accountability Office: 
GAO: 

Testimony: 

Before the Subcommittee on Energy and Mineral Resources, Committee on 
Natural Resources, House of Representatives: 

For Release on Delivery: 
Expected at 9:00 a.m. MDT:
Wednesday, August 24, 2011: 

Energy Development And Water Use: 

Impacts of Potential Oil Shale Development on Water Resources: 

Statement of Anu K. Mittal, Director:
Natural Resources and Environment Team: 

GAO-11-929T: 

GAO Highlight: 

Highlights of GAO-11-929T, a testimony before the Subcommittee on 
Energy and Mineral Resources, Committee on Natural Resources, House of 
Representatives. 

Why GAO Did This Study: 

Oil shale deposits in Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming are estimated to 
contain up to 3 trillion barrels of oil—-or an amount equal to the 
world’s proven oil reserves. About 72 percent of this oil shale is 
located beneath federal lands managed by the Department of the Interior’
s Bureau of Land Management, making the federal government a key 
player in its potential development. Extracting this oil is expected 
to require substantial amounts of water and could impact groundwater 
and surface water. 

GAO’s testimony is based on its October 2010 report on the 
impacts of oil shale development (GAO-11-35). This testimony 
summarizes (1) what is known about the potential impacts of oil shale 
development on surface water and groundwater, (2) what is known about 
the amount of water that may be needed for commercial oil shale 
development, (3) the extent to which water will likely be available 
for such development and its source, and (4) federal research efforts 
to address impacts to water resources from commercial oil shale 
development. For its October 2010 report, GAO reviewed studies and 
interviewed water experts, officials from federal and state agencies, 
and oil shale industry representatives. 

What GAO Found: 

Oil shale development could have significant impacts on the quality 
and quantity of water resources, but the magnitude is unknown because 
technologies are not yet commercially proven, the size of a future 
industry is uncertain, and knowledge of current water conditions is 
limited. In the absence of effective mitigation measures, water 
resources could be impacted by disturbing the ground surface during 
the construction of roads and production facilities, withdrawing water 
from streams and aquifers for oil shale operations, underground mining 
and extraction, and discharging waste waters produced from or used in 
such operations. 

Commercial oil shale development requires water for numerous 
activities throughout its life cycle, but estimates vary widely for 
the amount of water needed to commercially produce oil shale primarily 
because of the unproven nature of some technologies and because the 
various ways of generating power for operations use differing 
quantities of water. GAO’s review of available studies indicated that 
the expected total water needs for the entire life cycle of oil shale 
production range from about 1 barrel (or 42 gallons) to 12 barrels of 
water per barrel of oil produced from in-situ (underground heating) 
operations, with an average of about 5 barrels, and from about 2 to 4 
barrels of water per barrel of oil produced from mining operations 
with surface heating, with an average of about 3 barrels. 

GAO reported that water is likely to be available for the initial 
development of an oil shale industry but that the size of an industry 
in Colorado or Utah may eventually be limited by water availability. 
Water limitations may arise from increases in water demand from 
municipal and industrial users, the potential of reduced water 
supplies from a warming climate, the need to fulfill obligations under 
interstate water compacts, and decreases on withdrawals from the 
Colorado River system to meet the requirements to protect threatened 
and endangered fish species. 

The federal government sponsors research on the impacts of oil shale 
on water resources through the Departments of Energy (DOE) and 
Interior. Even with this research, nearly all of the officials and 
experts that GAO contacted said that there are insufficient data to 
understand baseline conditions of water resources in the oil shale 
regions of Colorado and Utah and that additional research is needed to 
understand the movement of groundwater and its interaction with 
surface water. Federal agency officials also told GAO that they seldom 
coordinate water-related oil shale research among themselves or with 
state agencies that regulate water. 

In its October report, GAO made three recommendations to the Secretary 
of the Interior to prepare for the possible impacts of oil shale 
development, including the establishment of comprehensive baseline 
conditions for water resources in the oil shale regions of Colorado 
and Utah, modeling regional groundwater movement, and coordinating on 
water-related research with DOE and state agencies involved in water 
regulation. The Department of the Interior generally concurred with 
the recommendations. GAO is making no new recommendations at this time. 

View GAO-11-929T. For more information, contact Anu K. Mittal at (202) 
512-3841 or mittala@gao.gov. 

[End of section] 

Chairman Lamborn, Ranking Member Holt, and Members of the Subcommittee: 

I am pleased to be here today to participate in your field hearing on 
oil shale development. As you know, being able to tap the vast amounts 
of oil locked within U.S. oil shale could go a long way toward 
satisfying our nation's future oil demands. The Green River Formation--
an assemblage of over 1,000 feet of sedimentary rocks that lie beneath 
parts of Colorado, Utah, and Wyoming--contains the world's largest 
deposits of oil shale. The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) estimates 
that the Green River Formation contains about 3 trillion barrels of 
oil and that about half of this may be recoverable, depending on 
available technology and economic conditions. This is an amount about 
equal to the entire world's proven oil reserves. The thickest and 
richest oil shale within the Green River Formation exists in the 
Piceance Basin of northwest Colorado and the Uintah Basin of northeast 
Utah (see appendix I). The federal government is in a unique position 
to influence the development of oil shale because 72 percent of the 
oil shale within the Green River Formation is beneath federal lands 
managed by the Department of the Interior's (Interior) Bureau of Land 
Management (BLM). The Department of Energy (DOE) has provided 
technological and financial support for oil shale development through 
its research and development efforts, but oil shale development has 
been hampered by technological challenges, average oil prices that 
have been too low to consistently justify investment, and concerns 
over potential impacts on the environment. 

One area of particular concern is that developing oil shale will 
require large amounts of water--a resource that is already in scarce 
supply in the arid West where an expanding population is placing 
additional demands on water. Some analysts project that large scale 
oil shale development within Colorado could require more water than is 
currently supplied to over 1 million residents of the Denver metro 
area and that water diverted for oil shale operations would restrict 
agricultural and urban development. The potential demand for water is 
further complicated by the past decade of drought in the West and 
projections of a warming climate in the future. In October 2010, we 
issued a report that examined the nexus between oil shale development 
and water impacts.[Footnote 1] 

My testimony today will summarize the findings of that report. 
Specifically, I will discuss (1) what is known about the potential 
impacts of oil shale development on surface water and groundwater, (2) 
what is known about the amount of water that may be needed for the 
commercial development of oil shale, (3) the extent to which water 
will likely be available for commercial oil shale development and its 
source, and (4) federal research efforts to address impacts on water 
resources from commercial oil shale development. To perform this work 
we, among other things, reviewed an environmental impact statement on 
oil shale development prepared by BLM and various studies from private 
and public groups; we also interviewed officials at DOE, USGS, BLM; 
state regulatory agencies in Colorado and Utah; oil shale industry 
representatives; water experts; and organizations performing research, 
including universities and national laboratories, and reviewed 
relevant documents describing their research. We conducted this work 
in accordance with generally accepted government auditing standards. 

Background: 

Interest in oil shale as a domestic energy source has waxed and waned 
since the early 1900s. More recently, the Energy Policy Act of 2005 
directed BLM to lease its lands for oil shale research and 
development. In June 2005, BLM initiated a leasing program for 
research, development, and demonstration (RD&D) of oil shale recovery 
technologies. By early 2007, it granted six small RD&D leases: five in 
the Piceance Basin of northwest Colorado and one in Uintah Basin of 
northeast Utah. The leases are for a 10-year period, and if the 
technologies are proven commercially viable, the lessees can 
significantly expand the size of the leases for commercial production 
into adjacent areas known as preference right lease areas. The Energy 
Policy Act of 2005 also directed BLM to develop a programmatic 
environmental impact statement (PEIS) for a commercial oil shale 
leasing program. During the drafting of the PEIS, however, BLM 
realized that, without proven commercial technologies, it could not 
adequately assess the environmental impacts of oil shale development 
and dropped from consideration the decision to offer additional 
specific parcels for lease. Instead, the PEIS analyzed making lands 
available for potential leasing and allowing industry to express 
interest in lands to be leased. Environmental groups then filed 
lawsuits, challenging various aspects of the PEIS and the RD&D 
program. Since then, BLM has initiated another round of oil shale RD&D 
leasing. 

Stakeholders in the future development of oil shale are numerous and 
include the federal government, state government agencies, the oil 
shale industry, academic institutions, environmental groups, and 
private citizens. Among federal agencies, BLM manages the land and the 
oil shale beneath it and develops regulations for its development. 
USGS describes the nature and extent of oil shale deposits and 
collects and disseminates information on the nation's water resources. 
DOE, through its various offices, national laboratories, and 
arrangements with universities, advances energy technologies, 
including oil shale technology. The Environmental Protection Agency 
(EPA) sets standards for pollutants that could be released by oil 
shale development and reviews environmental impact statements, such as 
the PEIS. Interior's Bureau of Reclamation (BOR) manages federally 
built water projects that store and distribute water in 17 western 
states and provides this water to users. BOR monitors the amount of 
water in storage and the amount of water flowing in the major streams 
and rivers, including the Colorado River, which flows through oil 
shale country and feeds these projects. BOR provides its monitoring 
data to federal and state agencies that are parties to three major 
federal, state, and international agreements that together with other 
federal laws, court decisions, and agreements, govern how water within 
the Colorado River and its tributaries is to be shared with Mexico and 
among the states in which the river or its tributaries are located. 
[Footnote 2] 

The states of Colorado and Utah have regulatory responsibilities over 
various activities that occur during oil shale development, including 
activities that impact water. Through authority delegated by EPA under 
the Clean Water Act, Colorado and Utah regulate discharges into 
surface waters. Colorado and Utah also have authority over the use of 
most water resources within their respective state boundaries. They 
have established extensive legal and administrative systems for the 
orderly use of water resources, granting water rights to individuals 
and groups. Water rights in these states are not automatically 
attached to the land upon which the water is located. Instead, 
companies or individuals must apply to the state for a water right and 
specify the amount of water to be used, its intended use, and the 
specific point from where the water will be diverted for use, such as 
a specific point on a river or stream. Utah approves the application 
for a water right through an administrative process, and Colorado 
approves the application for a water right through a court proceeding. 
The date of the application establishes its priority--earlier 
applicants have preferential entitlement to water over later 
applicants if water availability decreases during a drought. These 
earlier applicants are said to have senior water rights. When an 
applicant puts a water right to beneficial use, it is referred to as 
an absolute water right. Until the water is used, however, the 
applicant is said to have a conditional water right. Even if the 
applicant has not yet put the water to use, such as when the applicant 
is waiting on the construction of a reservoir, the date of the 
application still establishes priority. Water rights in both Colorado 
and Utah can be bought and sold, and strong demand for water in these 
western states facilitates their sale. 

A significant challenge to the development of oil shale lies in the 
current technology to economically extract oil from oil shale. To 
extract the oil, the rock needs to be heated to very high 
temperatures--ranging from about 650 to 1,000 degrees Fahrenheit--in a 
process known as retorting. Retorting can be accomplished primarily by 
two methods. One method involves mining the oil shale, bringing it to 
the surface, and heating it in a vessel known as a retort. Mining oil 
shale and retorting it has been demonstrated in the United States and 
is currently done to a limited extent in Estonia, China, and Brazil. 
However, a commercial mining operation with surface retorts has never 
been developed in the United States because the oil it produces 
competes directly with conventional crude oil, which historically has 
been less expensive to produce. The other method, known as an in-situ 
process, involves drilling holes into the oil shale, inserting heaters 
to heat the rock, and then collecting the oil as it is freed from the 
rock. Some in-situ technologies have been demonstrated on very small 
scales, but other technologies have yet to be proven, and none has 
been shown to be economically or environmentally viable. 

Nevertheless, according to some energy experts, the key to developing 
our country's oil shale is the development of an in-situ process 
because most of the richest oil shale is buried beneath hundreds to 
thousands of feet of rock, making mining difficult or impossible. 
Additional economic challenges include transporting the oil produced 
from oil shale to refineries because pipelines and major highways are 
not prolific in the remote areas where the oil shale is located, and 
the large-scale infrastructure that would be needed to supply power to 
heat oil shale is lacking. In addition, average crude oil prices have 
been lower than the threshold necessary to make oil shale development 
profitable over time. 

Large-scale oil shale development also brings socioeconomic impacts. 
There are obvious positive impacts such as the creation of jobs, 
increase in wealth, and tax and royalty payments to governments, but 
there are also negative impacts to local communities. Oil shale 
development can bring a sizeable influx of workers, who along with 
their families, put additional stress on local infrastructure such as 
roads, housing, municipal water systems, and schools. Development from 
expansion of extractive industries, such as oil shale or oil and gas, 
has typically followed a "boom and bust" cycle in the West, making 
planning for growth difficult. Furthermore, traditional rural uses 
could be replaced by the industrial development of the landscape, and 
tourism that relies on natural resources, such as hunting, fishing, 
and wildlife viewing, could be negatively impacted. 

Developing oil shale resources also faces significant environmental 
challenges. For example, construction and mining activities can 
temporarily degrade air quality in local areas. There can also be long-
term regional increases in air pollutants from oil shale processing, 
upgrading, pipelines, and the generation of additional electricity. 
Pollutants, such as dust, nitrogen oxides, and sulfur dioxide, can 
contribute to the formation of regional haze that can affect adjacent 
wilderness areas, national parks, and national monuments, which can 
have very strict air quality standards. Because oil shale operations 
clear large surface areas of topsoil and vegetation, some wildlife 
habitat will be lost. Important species likely to be negatively 
impacted from loss of wildlife habitat include mule deer, elk, sage 
grouse, and raptors. Noise from oil shale operations, access roads, 
transmission lines, and pipelines can further disturb wildlife and 
fragment their habitat. Environmental impacts could be compounded by 
the impacts of coal mining, construction, and extensive oil and gas 
development in the area. Air quality and wildlife habitat appear to be 
particularly susceptible to the cumulative effect of these impacts, 
and according to some environmental experts, air quality impacts may 
be the limiting factor for the development of a large oil shale 
industry in the future. Lastly, the withdrawal of large quantities of 
surface water for oil shale operations could negatively impact aquatic 
life downstream of the oil shale development. My testimony today will 
discuss impacts to water resources in more detail. 

Oil Shale Development Could Adversely Impact Water Resources, but the 
Magnitude of These Impacts Is Unknown: 

In our October report, we found that oil shale development could have 
significant impacts on the quantity and quality of surface and 
groundwater resources, but the magnitude of these impacts is unknown. 
For example, we found that it is not possible to quantify impacts on 
water resources with reasonable certainty because it is not yet 
possible to predict how large an oil shale industry may develop. The 
size of the industry would have a direct relationship to water 
impacts. We noted that, according to BLM, the level and degree of the 
potential impacts of oil shale development cannot be quantified 
because this would require making many speculative assumptions 
regarding the potential of the oil shale, unproven technologies, 
project size, and production levels. 

Hydrologists and engineers, while not able to quantify the impacts 
from oil shale development, have been able to determine the 
qualitative nature of its impacts because other types of mining, 
construction, and oil and gas development cause disturbances similar 
to impacts that would be expected from oil shale development. 
According to these experts, in the absence of effective mitigation 
measures, impacts from oil shale development to water resources could 
result from disturbing the ground surface during the construction of 
roads and production facilities, withdrawing water from streams and 
aquifers for oil shale operations, underground mining and extraction, 
and discharging waste waters from oil shale operations. For example, 
we reported that oil shale operations need water for a number of 
activities, including mining, constructing facilities, drilling wells, 
generating electricity for operations, and reclamation of disturbed 
sites. Water for most of these activities is likely to come from 
nearby streams and rivers because it is more easily accessible and 
less costly to obtain than groundwater. Withdrawing water from streams 
and rivers would decrease flows downstream and could temporarily 
degrade downstream water quality by depositing sediment within the 
stream channels as flows decrease. The resulting decrease in water 
would also make the stream or river more susceptible to temperature 
changes--increases in the summer and decreases in the winter. These 
elevated temperatures could have adverse impacts on aquatic life, 
which need specific temperatures for proper reproduction and 
development and could also decrease dissolved oxygen, which is needed 
by aquatic animals. 

We also reported that both underground mining and in-situ operations 
would permanently impact aquifers. For example, underground mining 
would permanently alter the properties of the zones that are mined, 
thereby affecting groundwater flow through these zones. The process of 
removing oil shale from underground mines would create large tunnels 
from which water would need to be removed during mining operations. 
The removal of this water through pumping would decrease water levels 
in shallow aquifers and decrease flows to streams and springs that are 
connected. When mining operations cease, the tunnels would most likely 
be filled with waste rock, which would have a higher degree of 
porosity and permeability than the original oil shale that was 
removed. Groundwater flow through this material would increase 
permanently, and the direction and pattern of flows could change 
permanently. Similarly, in-situ extraction would also permanently 
alter aquifers because it would heat the rock to temperatures that 
transform the solid organic compounds within the rock into liquid 
hydrocarbons and gas that would fracture the rock upon escape. The 
long-term effects of groundwater flows through these retorted zones 
are unknown. Some in-situ operations envision using a barrier to 
isolate thick zones of oil shale with intervening aquifers from any 
adjacent aquifers and pumping out all the groundwater from this 
isolated area before retorting. 

The discharge of waste waters from operations would also temporarily 
increase water flows in receiving streams. These discharges could also 
decrease the quality of downstream water if the discharged water is of 
lower quality, has a higher temperature, or contains less oxygen. 
Lower-quality water containing toxic substances could increase fish 
and invertebrate mortality. Also, increased flow into receiving 
streams could cause downstream erosion. However, if companies recycle 
waste water and water produced during operations, these discharges and 
their impacts could be substantially reduced. 

Estimates of Water Needs for Commercial Oil Shale Development Vary 
Widely: 

Commercial oil shale development requires water for numerous 
activities throughout its life cycle; however, we found that estimates 
vary widely for the amount of water needed to produce oil shale. These 
variations stem primarily from the uncertainty associated with 
reclamation technologies for in-situ oil shale development and because 
of the various ways to generate power for oil shale operations, which 
use different amounts of water. 

In our October report, we stated that water is needed for five 
distinct groups of activities that occur during the life cycle of oil 
shale development: (1) extraction and retorting, (2) upgrading of 
shale oil, (3) reclamation, (4) power generation, and (5) population 
growth associated with oil shale development. However, we found that 
few studies that we examined included estimates for the amount of 
water used by each of these activities. Consequently, we calculated 
estimates of the minimum, maximum, and average amounts of water that 
could be needed for each of the five groups of activities that 
comprise the life cycle of oil shale development. Based on our 
calculations, we estimated that about 1 to 12 barrels of water could 
be needed for each barrel of oil produced from in-situ operations, 
with an average of about 5 barrels (see table 1); and about 2 to 4 
barrels of water could be needed for each barrel of oil produced from 
mining operations with a surface retort operation, with an average of 
about 3 barrels (see table 2). 

Table 1: Estimated Barrels of Water Needed for Various Activities per 
Barrel of Shale Oil Produced by In-Situ Operations: 

Activity: Extraction/retorting; 
Minimum estimate: 0; 
Average estimate: 0.7; 
Maximum estimate: 1.0. 

Activity: Upgrading liquids; 
Minimum estimate: 0.6; 
Average estimate: 0.9; 
Maximum estimate: 1.6. 

Activity: Power generation; 
Minimum estimate: 0.1; 
Average estimate: 1.5; 
Maximum estimate: 3.4. 

Activity: Reclamation; 
Minimum estimate: 0; 
Average estimate: 1.4; 
Maximum estimate: 5.5. 

Activity: Population growth; 
Minimum estimate: 0.1; 
Average estimate: 0.3; 
Maximum estimate: 0.3. 

Activity: Total; 
Minimum estimate: 0.8; 
Average estimate: 4.8; 
Maximum estimate: 11.8. 

Source: GAO analysis of selected studies. 

Notes: GAO used from four to six studies to obtain the numbers for 
each group of activities. See GAO-11-35 to identify the specific 
studies. The average for reclamation may be less useful because 
estimates are either at the bottom or the top of this range. 

[End of table] 

Table 2: Estimated Barrels of Water Needed for Various Activities per 
Barrel of Shale Oil Produced by Mining and Surface Retorting: 

Activity: Extraction/retorting and upgrading liquids; 
Minimum estimate: 0.9; 
Average estimate: 1.5; 
Maximum estimate: 1.9. 

Activity: Power generation; 
Minimum estimate: 0; 
Average estimate: 0.3; 
Maximum estimate: 0.9. 

Activity: Reclamation; 
Minimum estimate: 0.6; 
Average estimate: 0.7; 
Maximum estimate: 0.8. 

Activity: Population growth; 
Minimum estimate: 0.3; 
Average estimate: 0.3; 
Maximum estimate: 0.4. 

Activity: Total; 
Minimum estimate: 1.8; 
Average estimate: 2.8; 
Maximum estimate: 4.0. 

Source: GAO analysis of selected studies. 

Note: GAO used from three to six studies to obtain the numbers for 
each group of activities. See [hyperlink, 
http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-35] to identify the specific 
studies. 

[End of table] 

Water Is Likely to Be Available Initially from Local Sources, but the 
Size of an Oil Shale Industry May Eventually Be Limited by Water 
Availability: 

In October 2010, we reported that water is likely to be available for 
the initial development of an oil shale industry, but the eventual 
size of the industry may be limited by the availability of water and 
demands for water to meet other needs. Oil shale companies operating 
in Colorado and Utah will need to have water rights to develop oil 
shale, and representatives from all of the companies with whom we 
spoke were confident that they held at least enough water rights for 
their initial projects and will likely be able to purchase more rights 
in the future. According to a study by the Western Resource Advocates, 
a nonprofit environmental law and policy organization, of water rights 
ownership in the Colorado and White River Basins of Colorado companies 
have significant water rights in the area. For example, the study 
found that Shell owns three conditional water rights for a combined 
diversion of about 600 cubic feet per second from the White River and 
one of its tributaries and has conditional rights for the combined 
storage of about 145,000 acre-feet in two proposed nearby reservoirs. 

In addition to exercising existing water rights and agreements, there 
are other options for companies to obtain more water rights in the 
future, according to state officials in Colorado and Utah. In 
Colorado, companies can apply for additional water rights in the 
Piceance Basin on the Yampa and White Rivers. For example, Shell 
recently applied--but subsequently withdrew the application--for 
conditional rights to divert up to 375 cubic feet per second from the 
Yampa River for storage in a proposed reservoir that would hold up to 
45,000 acre-feet for future oil shale development. In Utah, however, 
officials with the State Engineer's office said that additional water 
rights are not available, but that if companies want additional 
rights, they could purchase them from other owners. 

Most of the water needed for oil shale development is likely to come 
first from surface flows, as groundwater is more costly to extract and 
generally of poorer quality in the Piceance and Uintah Basins. 
However, companies may use groundwater in the future should they 
experience difficulties in obtaining rights to surface water. 
Furthermore, water is likely to come initially from surface sources 
immediately adjacent to development, such as the White River and its 
tributaries that flow through the heart of oil shale country in 
Colorado and Utah, because the cost of pumping water over long 
distances and rugged terrain would be high, according to water experts. 

Developing a sizable oil shale industry may take many years--perhaps 
15 or 20 years by some industry and government estimates--and such an 
industry may have to contend with increased demands for water to meet 
other needs. For example, substantial population growth and its 
correlative demand for water are expected in the oil shale regions of 
Colorado and Utah. State officials expect that the population within 
the region surrounding the Yampa, White, and Green Rivers in Colorado 
will triple between 2005 and 2050. These officials expect that this 
added population and corresponding economic growth by 2030 will 
increase municipal and industrial demands for water, exclusive of oil 
shale development, by about 22,000 acre-feet per year, or a 76 percent 
increase from 2000. Similarly in Utah, state officials expect the 
population of the Uintah Basin to more than double its 1998 size by 
2050 and that correlative municipal and industrial water demands will 
increase by 7,000 acre-feet per year, or an increase of about 30 
percent since the mid-1990s. Municipal officials in two communities 
adjacent to proposed oil shale development in Colorado said that they 
were confident of meeting their future municipal and industrial 
demands from their existing senior water rights and as such will 
probably not be affected by the water needs of a future oil shale 
industry. However, large withdrawals could impact agricultural 
interests and other downstream water users in both states, as oil 
shale companies may purchase existing irrigation and agricultural 
rights for their oil shale operations. State water officials in 
Colorado told us that some holders of senior agricultural rights have 
already sold their rights to oil shale companies. A future oil shale 
industry may also need to contend with a general decreased physical 
supply of water regionwide due to climate change; Colorado's and 
Utah's obligations under interstate compacts that could further reduce 
the amount of water available for development; and limitations on 
withdrawals from the Colorado River system to meet the requirements to 
protect certain fish species under the Endangered Species Act. 

Oil shale companies own rights to a large amount of water in the oil 
shale regions of Colorado and Utah, but we concluded that there are 
physical and legal limits on how much water they can ultimately 
withdraw from the region's waterways, which will limit the eventual 
size of the overall industry. Physical limits are set by the amount of 
water that is present in the river, and the legal limit is the sum of 
the water that can be legally withdrawn from the river as specified in 
the water rights held by downstream users. Our analysis of the 
development of an oil shale industry at Meeker, Colorado, based on the 
water available in the White River, suggests that there is much more 
water than is needed to support the water needs for all the sizes of 
an industry that would rely on mining and surface retorting that we 
considered. However, if an industry that uses in-situ extraction 
develops, water could be a limiting factor just by the amount of water 
physically available in the White River. 

Federal Research Efforts on the Impacts of Oil Shale Development on 
Water Resources Do Not Provide Sufficient Data for Future Monitoring: 

Since 2006, the federal government has sponsored over $22 million of 
research on oil shale development and of this amount about $5 million 
was spent on research related to the nexus between oil shale 
development and water. Even with this research, we reported that there 
is a lack of comprehensive data on the condition of surface water and 
groundwater and their interaction, which limits efforts to monitor and 
mitigate the future impacts of oil shale development. Currently DOE 
funds most of the research related to oil shale and water resources, 
including research on water rights, water needs, and the impacts of 
oil shale development on water quality. Interior also performs limited 
research on characterizing surface and groundwater resources in oil 
shale areas and is planning some limited monitoring of water 
resources. However, there is general agreement among those we 
contacted--including state personnel who regulate water resources, 
federal agency officials responsible for studying water, water 
researchers, and water experts--that this ongoing research is 
insufficient to monitor and then subsequently mitigate the potential 
impacts of oil shale development on water resources. Specifically, 
they identified the need for additional research in the following 
areas: 

* Comprehensive baseline conditions for surface water and groundwater 
quality and quantity. Experts we spoke with said that more data are 
needed on the chemistry of surface water and groundwater, properties 
of aquifers, age of groundwater, flow rates and patterns of 
groundwater, and groundwater levels in wells. 

* Groundwater movement and its interaction with surface water. Experts 
we spoke with said that additional research is needed to develop a 
better understanding of the interactions between groundwater and 
surface water and of groundwater movement for modeling possible 
transport of contaminants. In this context, more subsurface imaging 
and visualization are needed to build geologic and hydrologic models 
and to study how quickly groundwater migrates. Such tools will aid in 
monitoring and providing data that does not currently exist. 

In addition, we found that DOE and Interior officials seldom formally 
share the information on their water-related research with each other. 
USGS officials who conduct water-related research at Interior and DOE 
officials at the National Energy Technology Laboratory (NETL), which 
sponsors the majority of the water and oil shale research at DOE, 
stated they have not talked with each other about such research in 
almost 3 years. USGS staff noted that although DOE is currently 
sponsoring most of the water-related research, USGS researchers were 
unaware of most of these projects. In addition, staff at DOE's Los 
Alamos National Laboratory who are conducting some water-related 
research for DOE noted that various researchers are not always aware 
of studies conducted by others and stated that there needs to be a 
better mechanism for sharing this research. Based on our review, we 
found there does not appear to be any formal mechanism for sharing 
water-related research activities and results among Interior, DOE, and 
state regulatory agencies in Colorado and Utah. The last general 
meeting to discuss oil shale research among these agencies was in 
October 2007, but there have been opportunities to informally share 
research at the annual Oil Shale Symposium, such as the one that was 
conducted at the Colorado School of Mines in October 2010. Of the 
various officials with the federal and state agencies, representatives 
from research organizations, and water experts we contacted, many 
noted that federal and state agencies could benefit from collaboration 
with each other on water-related research involving oil shale. 
Representatives from NETL stated that collaboration should occur at 
least every 6 months. 

As a result of our findings, we made three recommendations in our 
October 2010 report to the Secretary of the Interior. Specifically, we 
stated that to prepare for possible impacts from the future 
development of oil shale, the Secretary should direct the appropriate 
managers in the Bureau of Land Management and the U.S. Geological 
Survey to: 

* establish comprehensive baseline conditions for groundwater and 
surface water quality, including their chemistry, and quantity in the 
Piceance and Uintah Basins to aid in the future monitoring of impacts 
from oil shale development in the Green River Formation; 

* model regional groundwater movement and the interaction between 
groundwater and surface water, in light of aquifer properties and the 
age of groundwater, so as to help in understanding the transport of 
possible contaminants derived from the development of oil shale; and: 

* coordinate with the Department of Energy and state agencies with 
regulatory authority over water resources in implementing these 
recommendations, and to provide a mechanism for water-related research 
collaboration and sharing of results. 

Interior generally concurred with our recommendations. In response to 
our first recommendation, Interior commented that there are ongoing 
USGS efforts to analyze existing water quality data in the Piceance 
Basin and to monitor surface water quality and quantity in both basins 
but that it also plans to conduct more comprehensive assessments in 
the future. With regard to our second recommendation, Interior stated 
that BLM and USGS are working on identifying shared needs for 
modeling. Interior underscored the importance of modeling prior to the 
approval of large-scale oil shale development and cited the importance 
of the industry's testing of various technologies on federal RD&D 
leases to determine if production can occur in commercial quantities 
and to develop an accurate determination of potential water uses for 
each technology. In support of our third recommendation to coordinate 
with DOE and state agencies with regulatory authority over water 
resources, Interior stated that BLM and USGS are working to improve 
such coordination and noted current ongoing efforts with state and 
local authorities. 

In conclusion, Mr. Chairman, attempts to commercially develop oil 
shale in the United States have spanned nearly a century. During this 
time, the industry has focused primarily on overcoming technological 
challenges and trying to develop a commercially viable operation. 
However, there are a number of uncertainties associated with the 
impacts that a commercially viable oil shale industry could have on 
water availability and quality that should be an important focus for 
federal agencies and policymakers going forward. 

Chairman Lamborn, Ranking Member Holt, and Members of the Committee, 
this completes my prepared statement. I would be pleased to respond to 
any questions that you may have at this time. 

Contact and Staff Acknowledgments: 

Contact points for our Offices of Congressional Relations and Public 
Affairs may be found on the last page of this testimony. For further 
information about this testimony, please contact Anu K. Mittal, 
Director, Natural Resources and Environment team, (202) 512-3841 or 
mittala@gao.gov. In addition to the individual named above, key 
contributors to this testimony were Dan Haas (Assistant Director), 
Quindi Franco, Alison O'Neill, Barbara Timmerman, and Lisa Vojta. 

[End of section] 

Appendix I: Location of Oil Shale Resources in Colorado and Utah: 

Figure: Location of Oil Shale Resources in Colorado and Utah: 

[Refer to PDF for image: map of Colorado and Utah] 

The following are depicted on the map: 

Extent of Green River Formation; 
Most geologically prospective oil shale resource; 
BLM preference right lease area; 
BLM RD&D leases: 
* OSEC (in Utah); 
* AMSO (in Colorado); 
* Chevron (in Colorado); 
* Shell #1 (in Colorado); 
* Shell #2 (in Colorado); 
* Shell #3 (in Colorado). 

Source: Adopted from BLM. 

[End of figure] 

[End of section] 

Footnotes: 

[1] GAO, Energy-Water Nexus: A Better and Coordinated Understanding of 
Water Resources Could Help Mitigate the Impacts of Potential Oil Shale 
Development, [hyperlink, http://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-11-35] 
(Washington, D.C.: Oct. 29, 2010). 

[2] These three major agreements are the Colorado River Compact of 
1922, the Upper Colorado River Basin Compact of 1948, and the Mexican 
Water Treaty of 1944. 

[End of section] 

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