Baseline Extended Social Security Medicare (net) "Medicaid, CHIP, and Exchange Subsidies" Net Interest All other spending Revenue Total federal spending Unified surplus/deficit Debt held by the public Real GDP Fiscal year Percentage of GDP Billions of 2005 dollars 2009 4.8 3.0 1.8 1.3 13.9 14.8 24.8 -10.0 53.5 "12,721" 2010 4.8 3.1 1.9 1.4 12.6 14.9 23.8 -8.9 62.1 "13,125" 2011 4.8 3.2 1.9 1.5 12.6 15.4 24.1 -8.7 67.7 "13,263" 2012 5.0 3.1 1.7 1.4 12.0 16.3 23.2 -7.0 72.5 "13,538" 2013 5.1 3.2 1.8 1.5 10.9 18.8 22.5 -3.7 75.1 "13,700" 2014 5.2 3.2 2.2 1.5 10.0 20.0 22.1 -2.1 74.8 "14,073" 2015 5.1 3.1 2.4 1.6 9.5 20.2 21.8 -1.5 72.6 "14,752" 2016 5.1 3.2 2.5 1.8 9.2 20.2 21.8 -1.6 70.5 "15,414" 2017 5.1 3.1 2.6 2.0 8.7 20.5 21.6 -1.1 68.5 "15,955" 2018 5.1 3.1 2.6 2.2 8.4 20.5 21.5 -0.9 66.8 "16,414" 2019 5.2 3.2 2.7 2.4 8.3 20.6 21.8 -1.2 65.5 "16,836" 2020 5.3 3.3 2.7 2.5 8.1 20.7 21.9 -1.2 64.2 "17,259" 2021 5.4 3.4 2.8 2.5 8.0 20.9 22.0 -1.2 63.0 "17,678" 2022 5.5 3.6 2.9 2.5 7.9 21.0 22.4 -1.4 62.0 "18,095" 2023 5.6 3.7 2.8 2.7 7.9 21.0 22.8 -1.7 61.6 "18,489" 2024 5.7 3.8 3.0 2.9 7.9 21.0 23.3 -2.3 61.7 "18,896" 2025 5.8 3.9 2.9 3.1 7.9 21.0 23.6 -2.6 62.1 "19,297" 2026 5.9 4.0 3.0 3.1 7.9 21.0 23.9 -2.8 62.8 "19,703" 2027 5.9 4.1 3.0 3.1 7.9 21.0 24.1 -3.1 63.7 "20,131" 2028 6.0 4.2 2.9 3.2 7.9 21.0 24.2 -3.2 64.6 "20,574" 2029 6.1 4.3 3.1 3.2 7.9 21.0 24.6 -3.6 65.9 "21,011" 2030 6.1 4.4 3.0 3.3 7.9 21.0 24.7 -3.7 67.3 "21,468" 2031 6.1 4.4 3.2 3.4 7.9 21.0 25.0 -4.0 68.9 "21,940" 2032 6.2 4.5 3.1 3.4 7.9 21.0 25.1 -4.1 70.5 "22,423" 2033 6.2 4.6 3.1 3.5 7.9 21.0 25.3 -4.3 72.3 "22,916" 2034 6.2 4.6 3.1 3.6 7.9 21.0 25.5 -4.5 74.2 "23,421" 2035 6.2 4.7 3.2 3.7 7.9 21.0 25.7 -4.7 76.2 "23,936" 2036 6.2 4.8 3.2 3.8 7.9 21.0 25.9 -4.9 78.3 "24,462" 2037 6.2 4.8 3.3 3.9 7.9 21.0 26.1 -5.1 80.6 "25,001" 2038 6.2 4.8 3.3 4.0 7.9 21.0 26.3 -5.3 82.8 "25,569" 2039 6.2 4.9 3.3 4.1 7.9 21.0 26.4 -5.4 85.1 "26,157" 2040 6.2 4.9 3.5 4.2 7.9 21.0 26.7 -5.7 87.7 "26,739" 2041 6.1 4.9 3.5 4.4 7.9 21.0 26.9 -5.9 90.3 "27,328" 2042 6.1 4.9 3.5 4.5 7.9 21.0 27.0 -6.0 93.0 "27,929" 2043 6.1 4.9 3.6 4.6 7.9 21.0 27.2 -6.2 95.6 "28,543" 2044 6.1 5.0 3.6 4.8 7.9 21.0 27.3 -6.3 98.4 "29,171" 2045 6.1 5.0 3.6 4.9 7.9 21.0 27.5 -6.5 101.2 "29,813" 2046 6.0 5.0 3.6 5.0 7.9 21.0 27.7 -6.6 104.0 "30,469" 2047 6.0 5.0 3.7 5.2 7.9 21.0 27.8 -6.8 106.9 "31,139" 2048 6.0 5.0 3.7 5.3 7.9 21.0 28.0 -7.0 109.9 "31,824" 2049 6.0 5.0 3.7 5.5 7.9 21.0 28.1 -7.1 112.8 "32,524" 2050 6.0 5.0 3.6 5.6 7.9 21.0 28.2 -7.2 115.7 "33,240" 2051 6.0 5.0 3.7 5.8 7.9 21.0 28.5 -7.5 118.9 "33,946" 2052 6.0 5.0 3.6 5.9 7.9 21.0 28.5 -7.5 122.0 "34,659" 2053 6.0 5.0 3.8 6.1 7.9 21.0 28.8 -7.8 125.2 "35,387" 2054 6.0 5.1 3.6 6.3 7.9 21.0 28.8 -7.8 128.4 "36,130" 2055 6.0 5.1 3.7 6.4 7.9 21.0 29.0 -8.0 131.6 "36,889" 2056 6.0 5.1 3.8 6.6 7.9 21.0 29.4 -8.3 135.1 "37,664" 2057 5.9 5.1 3.7 6.7 7.9 21.0 29.4 -8.4 138.4 "38,455" 2058 5.9 5.1 3.7 6.9 7.9 21.0 29.6 -8.6 141.8 "39,262" 2059 5.9 5.1 3.7 7.1 7.9 21.0 29.8 -8.8 145.3 "40,087" 2060 5.9 5.1 3.7 7.3 7.9 21.0 30.0 -9.0 148.8 "40,928" 2061 5.9 5.1 3.7 7.4 7.9 21.0 30.2 -9.2 152.4 "41,788" 2062 5.9 5.1 3.7 7.6 7.9 21.0 30.4 -9.3 156.0 "42,665" 2063 5.9 5.2 3.6 7.8 7.9 21.0 30.4 -9.4 159.4 "43,593" 2064 5.9 5.2 3.8 8.0 7.9 21.0 30.7 -9.7 163.1 "44,520" 2065 5.9 5.2 3.8 8.1 7.9 21.0 30.9 -9.9 166.8 "45,455" 2066 5.9 5.2 3.6 8.3 7.9 21.0 31.0 -10.0 170.5 "46,409" 2067 5.9 5.2 3.6 8.5 7.9 21.0 31.2 -10.2 174.3 "47,384" 2068 5.9 5.2 3.8 8.7 7.9 21.0 31.6 -10.5 178.2 "48,379" 2069 5.9 5.2 3.8 8.9 7.9 21.0 31.8 -10.8 182.2 "49,395" 2070 5.9 5.2 3.7 9.1 7.9 21.0 31.8 -10.8 186.1 "50,432" 2071 5.9 5.2 3.7 9.3 7.9 21.0 32.1 -11.0 190.1 "51,491" 2072 5.9 5.2 3.7 9.5 7.9 21.0 32.3 -11.2 194.1 "52,573" 2073 5.9 5.2 3.7 9.7 7.9 21.0 32.5 -11.5 198.1 "53,677" 2074 5.9 5.2 3.7 9.9 7.9 21.0 32.7 -11.7 202.3 "54,804" 2075 5.9 5.2 3.8 10.1 7.9 21.0 33.0 -12.0 206.6 "55,955" 2076 5.9 5.2 3.8 10.3 7.9 21.0 33.3 -12.2 210.9 "57,130" 2077 5.9 5.2 3.8 10.5 7.9 21.0 33.5 -12.5 215.3 "58,329" 2078 6.0 5.2 3.7 10.8 7.9 21.0 33.6 -12.6 219.6 "59,554" 2079 6.0 5.2 3.7 11.0 7.9 21.0 33.8 -12.8 224.0 "60,805" 2080 6.0 5.2 3.7 11.2 7.9 21.0 34.0 -13.0 228.4 "62,082" 2081 6.0 5.2 3.8 11.4 7.9 21.0 34.4 -13.4 233.0 "63,386" 2082 6.0 5.2 3.8 11.6 7.9 21.0 34.6 -13.6 237.6 "64,717" 2083 6.0 5.2 3.8 11.9 7.9 21.0 34.8 -13.8 242.3 "66,076" 2084 6.0 5.2 3.8 12.1 7.9 21.0 35.1 -14.1 247.1 "67,463" 2085 6.0 5.2 3.8 12.3 7.9 21.0 35.3 -14.3 251.9 "68,880" 2086 6.0 5.2 3.8 12.6 7.9 21.0 35.5 -14.5 256.7 "70,327" Source: GAO's Spring 2012 analysis based on the Trustees’ assumptions for Social Security and Medicare.