"Alternative Simulation based on CBO's Projections for Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid"											
	 Social Security	Medicare (net)	"Medicaid, CHIP, and Exchange Subsidies"	Net Interest 	All other spending	Revenue	Total federal spending	Unified surplus/deficit	Debt held by the public	Real GDP		
	Percentage of GDP									Billions of 2005 dollars		
2009	4.8	3.0	1.8	1.3	13.9	14.8	24.8	-10.0	53.5	"12,721"		
2010	4.8	3.1	1.9	1.4	12.6	14.9	23.8	-8.9	62.1	"13,125"		
2011	4.8	3.3	1.9	1.5	12.5	15.4	24.1	-8.7	67.7	"13,263"		
2012	5.0	3.2	1.7	1.4	11.9	16.1	23.2	-7.1	72.6	"13,538"		
2013	5.1	3.2	1.8	1.5	11.3	16.8	22.9	-6.0	77.6	"13,700"		
2014	5.2	3.2	2.2	1.5	10.8	17.5	22.9	-5.4	80.5	"14,073"		
2015	5.1	3.2	2.4	1.7	10.3	17.7	22.7	-5.0	81.4	"14,752"		
2016	5.1	3.3	2.5	2.0	9.9	17.8	22.8	-5.1	82.3	"15,414"		
2017	5.1	3.3	2.6	2.4	9.3	18.0	22.7	-4.7	83.3	"15,955"		
2018	5.1	3.4	2.6	2.7	8.8	18.1	22.7	-4.6	84.5	"16,414"		
2019	5.2	3.4	2.7	3.0	8.8	18.1	23.1	-5.0	86.2	"16,836"		
2020	5.3	3.5	2.7	3.2	8.6	18.1	23.4	-5.2	88.0	"17,259"		
2021	5.4	3.6	2.8	3.4	8.4	18.2	23.6	-5.4	90.0	"17,678"		
2022	5.5	3.8	2.9	3.6	8.3	18.3	24.0	-5.7	92.2	"18,095"		
2023	5.5	3.9	3.0	4.0	8.4	18.2	24.8	-6.6	95.5	"18,489"		
2024	5.6	4.0	3.0	4.5	8.6	18.1	25.7	-7.6	99.5	"18,896"		
2025	5.7	4.2	3.1	5.0	8.8	17.9	26.7	-8.8	104.6	"19,297"		
2026	5.7	4.3	3.1	5.2	8.9	17.9	27.3	-9.3	110.1	"19,703"		
2027	5.8	4.4	3.2	5.5	9.1	17.9	28.0	-10.0	116.0	"20,131"		
2028	5.9	4.6	3.3	5.8	9.3	17.9	28.8	-10.9	122.5	"20,574"		
2029	5.9	4.8	3.3	6.1	9.4	17.9	29.5	-11.6	129.5	"21,011"		
2030	6.0	5.0	3.4	6.5	9.6	17.9	30.4	-12.5	137.1	"21,468"		
2031	6.0	5.0	3.4	6.8	9.7	17.9	31.0	-13.0	144.8	"21,940"		
2032	6.0	5.2	3.5	7.2	9.9	17.9	31.8	-13.9	153.1	"22,423"		
2033	6.1	5.4	3.6	7.6	9.9	17.9	32.6	-14.7	161.9	"22,916"		
2034	6.1	5.5	3.6	8.1	9.9	17.9	33.2	-15.2	170.8	"23,421"		
2035	6.1	5.6	3.7	8.5	9.9	17.9	33.8	-15.9	180.1	"23,936"		
2036	6.1	5.7	3.7	9.0	9.9	17.9	34.4	-16.4	189.5	"24,462"		
2037	6.1	5.9	3.8	9.5	9.9	17.9	35.1	-17.2	199.3	"25,001"		
2038	6.1	6.0	3.8	9.9	9.9	17.9	35.7	-17.8	209.1	"25,569"		
2039	6.1	6.1	3.9	10.4	9.9	17.9	36.4	-18.5	219.2	"26,157"		
2040	6.0	6.2	4.0	10.9	9.9	17.9	37.0	-19.1	229.6	"26,739"		
2041	6.0	6.3	4.0	11.5	9.9	17.9	37.6	-19.7	240.3	"27,328"		
2042	6.0	6.4	4.1	12.0	9.9	17.9	38.4	-20.4	251.3	"27,929"		
2043	6.0	6.6	4.1	12.5	9.9	17.9	39.1	-21.2	262.5	"28,543"		
2044	5.9	6.6	4.2	13.1	9.9	17.9	39.7	-21.7	273.9	"29,171"		
2045	5.9	6.7	4.2	13.7	9.9	17.9	40.3	-22.4	285.5	"29,813"		
2046	5.9	6.8	4.3	14.2	9.9	17.9	41.1	-23.2	297.4	"30,469"		
2047	5.9	6.9	4.3	14.8	9.9	17.9	41.8	-23.9	309.5	"31,139"		
2048	5.9	7.0	4.4	15.4	9.9	17.9	42.6	-24.7	321.9	"31,824"		
2049	5.9	7.1	4.4	16.1	9.9	17.9	43.3	-25.4	334.5	"32,524"		
2050	5.9	7.2	4.5	16.7	9.9	17.9	44.2	-26.2	347.4	"33,240"		
2051	5.9	7.3	4.5	17.3	9.9	17.9	44.9	-27.0	360.8	"33,946"		
2052	5.9	7.4	4.6	18.0	9.9	17.9	45.8	-27.9	374.6	"34,659"		
2053	5.9	7.5	4.6	18.7	9.9	17.9	46.6	-28.6	388.7	"35,387"		
2054	6.0	7.5	4.7	19.4	9.9	17.9	47.5	-29.5	403.1	"36,130"		
2055	6.0	7.7	4.7	20.1	9.9	17.9	48.4	-30.5	417.9	"36,889"		
2056	6.0	7.8	4.7	20.9	9.9	17.9	49.3	-31.3	432.9	"37,664"		
2057	6.0	8.0	4.8	21.6	9.9	17.9	50.3	-32.4	448.3	"38,455"		
2058	6.0	8.1	4.8	22.4	9.9	17.9	51.2	-33.2	464.1	"39,262"		
2059	6.0	8.1	4.8	23.2	9.9	17.9	52.0	-34.0	479.9	"40,087"		
2060	6.0	8.3	4.9	24.0	9.9	17.9	53.1	-35.1	496.3	"40,928"		
2061	6.1	8.4	4.9	24.8	9.9	17.9	54.1	-36.1	513.0	"41,788"		
2062	6.1	8.6	4.9	25.6	9.9	17.9	55.1	-37.2	530.1	"42,665"		
2063	6.1	8.6	5.0	26.4	9.9	17.9	56.0	-38.1	547.0	"43,593"		
2064	6.1	8.8	5.0	27.3	9.9	17.9	57.1	-39.1	564.6	"44,520"		
2065	6.1	9.0	5.0	28.2	9.9	17.9	58.2	-40.2	582.7	"45,455"		
2066	6.1	9.1	5.1	29.1	9.9	17.9	59.3	-41.3	601.2	"46,409"		
2067	6.2	9.2	5.1	30.0	9.9	17.9	60.4	-42.5	620.1	"47,384"		
2068	6.2	9.3	5.1	31.0	9.9	17.9	61.4	-43.5	639.2	"48,379"		
2069	6.2	9.5	5.1	31.9	9.9	17.9	62.6	-44.7	658.8	"49,395"		
2070	6.2	9.7	5.2	32.9	9.9	17.9	63.9	-45.9	678.8	"50,432"		
2071	6.2	9.7	5.2	33.9	9.9	17.9	64.9	-46.9	699.1	"51,491"		
2072	6.2	9.9	5.2	34.9	9.9	17.9	66.1	-48.1	719.8	"52,573"		
2073	6.3	10.1	5.2	35.9	9.9	17.9	67.4	-49.5	740.9	"53,677"		
2074	6.2	10.2	5.3	37.0	9.9	17.9	68.6	-50.6	762.4	"54,804"		
2075	6.3	10.3	5.3	38.1	9.9	17.9	69.9	-51.9	784.3	"55,955"		
2076	6.3	10.5	5.3	39.2	9.9	17.9	71.1	-53.2	806.7	"57,130"		
2077	6.3	10.6	5.3	40.3	9.9	17.9	72.4	-54.4	829.3	"58,329"		
2078	6.3	10.7	5.4	41.4	9.9	17.9	73.7	-55.7	852.4	"59,554"		
2079	6.3	10.8	5.4	42.6	9.9	17.9	74.9	-57.0	875.8	"60,805"		
2080	6.3	11.0	5.4	43.7	9.9	17.9	76.3	-58.4	899.7	"62,082"		
2081	6.3	11.2	5.4	44.9	9.9	17.9	77.7	-59.8	924.0	"63,386"		
2082	6.4	11.2	5.4	46.1	9.9	17.9	79.0	-61.1	948.6	"64,717"		
2083	6.4	11.4	5.4	47.4	9.9	17.9	80.5	-62.5	973.7	"66,076"		
2084	6.4	11.5	5.4	48.6	9.9	17.9	81.8	-63.9	999.2	"67,463"		
2085	6.4	11.7	5.4	49.9	9.9	17.9	83.3	-65.3	1025.1	"68,880"		
2086	6.4	11.9	5.4	51.2	9.9	17.9	84.8	-66.8	1051.5	"70,327"		
												
Source: GAO's Spring 2012 analysis based on CBO's projections for Social Security and alternative projections for Medicare and Medicaid.